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Robots and Chips's avatar

Excellent comprehensive analysis of TSMC Q3 results! The detail on how N3 and N5 combined for 60% of wafer revenue really highlights their technology lead. What's particulary striking is the flat HPC revenue QoQ despite all the AI hype - that's the kind of datapoint that deserves more scrutiny given management's confidence about AI demand sustainability. Also the overseas fab dilution persisting at 2-3% for years is significant, it's basically permanent margin compression for geopolitical insurance that investors often underestimate. The exponential token growth metric Wei mentioned is facinating too, because if workload demand is doubling every 3 months but HPC revenue is flat, something has to give - either pricing or utilisation. Overall, TSMC remains the most critical choke point in global tech infrastrucure.

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